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Euro against major currencies...

EUR/USD 0/- We will prefer to sell rallies to 1.2370 for push back to 1.2280. Stop are above 1.2410.

EUR/JPY   EUR vs JPY is natural, We See support at 110.10 holding. Ranging 110.0-111.30.  2010-06-27 20:53:52

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Canada Wholesale Sales Out at -0.1%...

Forex

Major Economic and Forex Market Headlines - Previous Session

  • Canada Jul. Wholesale Sales out at -0.1% m/m vs. +0.1% expected and -0.3% prior
  • US Sep. NAHB Housing Market Index out at 13 vs. 14 expected and 13 prior
  • NZ Aug. Credit Card Spending out at +0.5% m/m, +2.0% y/y vs. revised -1.3%/+2.6% prior resp.
  • Japan July Final Leading Index out at 100.0 vs. 98.2 previously
  • Japan July Final Coincident Index out at 103.0 vs. 101.8 previously
 

Australian Dollar toward the record high...

Forex

Australia’s dollar traded at 94.55 U.S. cents as of 8:27 a.m. in Sydney from 94.73 cents in New York. The Australian dollar may extend its rally toward the record high of 98.50 U.S. cents set in July 2008 should it strengthen beyond resistance at 95 cents and 96.50 cents.
 

Gold reached a record US$1,283.80 an ounce...

Gold

Gold reached a record US$1,283.80 an ounce yesterday. The dollar approached a 5-week low against the euro today on concern the Federal Reserve will affirm its pledge to keep interest rates low for an “extended period” and signal it’s open to increasing debt purchases. Holdings in gold-backed exchange-traded products reached an all-time high yesterday.

Gold, up 16 percent this year, is heading for its 10th consecutive annual gain, the longest winning streak since at least 1920.

 

US State personal income growth averaged 1.0 percent...

Economy

US State personal income growth averaged 1.0 percent in the second quarter of 2010 up slightly from 0.9 percent in the first quarter, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth rates ranged from 2.0 percent in North Dakota to 0.3 percent in Nevada.
   

USA Personal income increased $53.7 billion...

Economy

USA Personal income increased $53.7 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $49.0 billion, or 0.4 percent, in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
   

Wall Street Hiring Jumps Most Since 2008...

Economy

The removal of uncertainty regarding Congress’s financial reform bill may reinforce the hiring rebound. A deal reached by members of a House and Senate conference last week diluted provisions from the tougher USA Senate bill, limiting rather than prohibiting the ability of federally insured banks to trade derivatives and invest in hedge funds or private-equity funds. 

USA Firms are adding jobs for the first time in two years, rebuilding businesses cut during the financial crisis and offering guaranteed payouts to lure top US bankers. During February through May, In New York, 6800 financial-industry positions were added. This is the largest 3-month increase since 2008, according to the New York State Department of Labor

   

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Major Currencies Daily Heat Table


Daily Currencies Heat Table              Update: Daily GMT +5:00

EUR

USD

JPY

GBP

AUD

CHF

CAD

NZD

NOK

PKR

SEK

PLN

+ -

-

+ + - -    

+

+

 

Daily Gold, Oil and Silver Futures...

Commodities

Daily Stance

Comments

Gold 0/+

Gold is leading again. Buy at the break of 1244.450 targeting 1251. Sell below 1290.

Silver 0/+

Buy on dips towards 18.66 targeting 18.76.

Oil 0/-

Sell at the break of 76.03 targeting 75.65.

Forex Overview

Currencies Overview

This weekends G-20 meeting is important due to several reasons. Most important are the stance towards recovery, international financial transaction tax and reserve capital in banks.

2010-06-27 - 06:56:19

EUR/USD

EURO is still looking weak. Prefer to sell rallies to 1.2370 for push back to 1.22905. Stop above 1.2415.


UK STERLING/DOLLAR

(daily stance 0/+)

GBP Look for consolidation above 1.4905. Likely ranging 1.49-1.50.


DOLLAR/YEN

Volumes are largely unchanged in Asia. With spot above 9300 we are seeing new wave of interest in buying the risk reversals (Buy USD puts)  as ATM volumes remain soft.

USDJPY (daily stance 0)

Still buy dips to 89.60 for a push back to 90.30, poss 90.70. Stop below 89.25.

AUD/ DOLLAR

Look to sell any bounce towards 0.8700 for a push through 0.8610 to target 0.8570. Stop above 0.8755.

 


Monetary Policy Focus


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US Dollar Index Chart

Chart USD Index

Forex Sentiment Indicator

Forex sentiment indicator

Central Banks Interest Rates

US       0.25%
UK 0.5%
EMU / EURO 1%
Japan 0.1%
Switzerland 0.25%
Canada 0.25%
Australia 3%
New Zealand 2.5%
Sweden 0.25%

G-20 Economy & Updates!

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 5-1/4 percent in the second quarter. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 8-1/4 percent, and non-revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 3-1/2 percent. In June, consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 5 percent.

Jawwad Ahmad

Jawwad Ahmad is the Founder of MyForexTime.com. After trading the Stock and Forex markets for 6 year, He founded the MyForexTime.com in 2005. Jawwad Ahmad has been an active Forex trader for the last 10 years, specializing in the International Foreign Exchange Market. He also MBA and CS graduate in the University of AJK, in Pakistan, as a specializing in Information Technology, and financial self-taught. He has since been managing trading accounts privately, manages clients portfolio for the leading Retail FX brokers, also training new traders around the world.

Pakistan Economic Indicators

  Annual 2009/10  
  Foreign Debt $50.1bn  
  Per Cap Income $1046  
  GDP Growth 2.0%  
  Average CPI 20.77%  
  Monthly July
 
  Trade Balance $-1.15 bln  
  Exports $1.49 bln
  Imports $2.64 bln  
 

Weekly August 18, 2009

 
  Reserves $11.846 bln
 

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Credit Default Swaps...

One-month in credit default swaps bet against countries

Euro Without Support

EURO Without Supportimage

The EUR certainly received no support from a better than expected ZEW survey yesterday (-53.5 vs. -63 expected) as the focus on continued risk aversion spelled trouble for the single currency and EURUSD and EURJPY posted new two-week lows late yesterday and overnight Read More

Japan Currency and Economy

Economy At Risk?

Chart USD / JPY
Japan's economy is at risk of deteriorating further as the global financial turmoil slows growth worldwide, BoJ board member Seiji Nakamura said. "Japan could be on the verge of long-term economic adjustments and the downside risks to the economy are increasing further,'' Read More

Pakistan Currency and Economy

Economic Recovery?

Chart USD / JPY
Pakistan's economy is finally able to recover as the global financial turmoil slows growth worldwide, Inflation rate is still out of control & increase in current accounts deficit. Pakistan’s economy needs effective policies and implementation of
reforms in FY09 to regain macroeconomic stability in the midst of a challenging year... Read More

EuroZone

Euro zone in recession as economy shrinks in Q3

The Euro zone is in its first ever technical recession after the economy contracted for the second time in a row quarter-on-quarter in the July-September period, an official estimate showed on Friday.

Gold Future and Spot

Gold rates, gold trading

Gold prices slipped a little lower last night influenced by technical selling...  2010-03-10  Read More

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