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Euro against major currencies...

EUR/USD 0/- We will prefer to sell rallies to 1.2370 for push back to 1.2280. Stop are above 1.2410.

EUR/JPY   EUR vs JPY is natural, We See support at 110.10 holding. Ranging 110.0-111.30.  2010-06-27 20:53:52

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G-20 Leaders Responds to European Debt Crisis With Deficit-Cutting Target...

G-20

Advanced G-20 Countries economies will aim to halve deficits by 2013 and start to stabilize their debt-to-output ratios by 2016, the group said in a statement yesterday after a meeting in Toronto Canada. G-20 Leaders said nations can move at their own pace and also pledged to fulfill existing stimulus plans.

G-20 leaders responded to the European debt crisis with deficit-reduction targets and agreed to pursue higher capital requirements for banks once economic recoveries take hold.

 

USA Q1 2010 Personal Consumption out at 3.0%...

Forex

Today morning European session start with Sweden’s household lending and trade data followed by the series of German states reporting CPI data for June 2010.

Major Economic and Forex Market Headlines  -  Previous Session

  • China May 2010 Leading Index out at 103.44 vs. 104.36 prior
  • United Kingdom June 2010 Home-track Housing Survey out at +0.1% m/m, 2.1% y/y vs. 0.2%/2.0% prior respective.
  • Japan May 2010 Retail Trade out at +2.8% y/y vs. +4.8% expected and 4.9% prior
  • Japan May 2010 Large Retailers’ Sales out at -4.0% vs. -2.9% expected and 0.5% prior
  • NZ June NBNZ Business Confidence out at 40.2 vs. 48.2 prior
  • USA Q1 2010 Final GDP out at 2.7% vs. 3.0% expected and 3.0% previously
  •  vs. 3.5% expected and 3.5% previously
  • USA June Michigan Confidence out at 76.0 vs. 75.5 expected and 75.5 prior

 

 

G-20 May Stress Need to Cut Growing Deficits...

G-20

The G-20 has to bridge a gap between leaders such as German Chancellor Angela Merkel who favor budget cuts and USA President Barack Obama who want to focus on growth.

G-20 leaders are poised to endorse targets to tackle deficits while giving nations flexibility on when to start balancing their books, according to officials with knowledge of drafts of the final statement.

G-20 Leaders will agree today on the need to cut deficits, while urging countries with the most precarious fiscal positions to accelerate their plans, according to the officials who declined to be identified by name because a final version of the statement hasn’t been completed.

 

G-20 Official Says, Yuan Flexibility to Reduce China's Exports...

China

China’s pledge of a more flexible Yuan will reduce the China’s exports in 2010-2011, adding to difficulties that include the European debt crisis and rising costs, a Ministry of Commerce official said.

“I’m not optimistic about the exports this year,” said Yu Jianhua, a Ministry of Commerce director general, after a press conference during the Group of 20 meetings in Toronto. “It’s essential for exporters to cut cost and keep their share in the world trade market.”
   

BOE's financial stability report adopted a cautious...

BOE

The Bank Of England's (BOE) Financial Stability Report adopted a cautious tone, noting that, while Euro-zone sovereign debt issues had abated, markets we still not back to normal. The report noted that UK banks’ direct exposure to peripheral EU countries was modest, indirect exposure via European subsidiaries may present a problem.
   

USA GDP increased at an anual rate of 2.7 percent...

Economy

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.7 percent in the first quarter of 2010, (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

In the fourth quarter of 2009, real GDP increased 5.6 percent. the GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for he "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 3.0.

Read more: USA GDP increased at an anual rate of 2.7 percent...

   

Page 2 of 54

Major Currencies Daily Heat Table


Daily Currencies Heat Table              Update: Daily GMT +5:00

EUR

USD

JPY

GBP

AUD

CHF

CAD

NZD

NOK

PKR

SEK

PLN

+ -

-

+ + - -    

+

+

 

Daily Gold, Oil and Silver Futures...

Commodities

Daily Stance

Comments

Gold 0/+

Gold is leading again. Buy at the break of 1244.450 targeting 1251. Sell below 1290.

Silver 0/+

Buy on dips towards 18.66 targeting 18.76.

Oil 0/-

Sell at the break of 76.03 targeting 75.65.

Forex Overview

Currencies Overview

This weekends G-20 meeting is important due to several reasons. Most important are the stance towards recovery, international financial transaction tax and reserve capital in banks.

2010-06-27 - 06:56:19

EUR/USD

EURO is still looking weak. Prefer to sell rallies to 1.2370 for push back to 1.22905. Stop above 1.2415.


UK STERLING/DOLLAR

(daily stance 0/+)

GBP Look for consolidation above 1.4905. Likely ranging 1.49-1.50.


DOLLAR/YEN

Volumes are largely unchanged in Asia. With spot above 9300 we are seeing new wave of interest in buying the risk reversals (Buy USD puts)  as ATM volumes remain soft.

USDJPY (daily stance 0)

Still buy dips to 89.60 for a push back to 90.30, poss 90.70. Stop below 89.25.

AUD/ DOLLAR

Look to sell any bounce towards 0.8700 for a push through 0.8610 to target 0.8570. Stop above 0.8755.

 


Monetary Policy Focus


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US Dollar Index Chart

Chart USD Index

Forex Sentiment Indicator

Forex sentiment indicator

Central Banks Interest Rates

US       0.25%
UK 0.5%
EMU / EURO 1%
Japan 0.1%
Switzerland 0.25%
Canada 0.25%
Australia 3%
New Zealand 2.5%
Sweden 0.25%

G-20 Economy & Updates!

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 5-1/4 percent in the second quarter. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 8-1/4 percent, and non-revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 3-1/2 percent. In June, consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 5 percent.

Jawwad Ahmad

Jawwad Ahmad is the Founder of MyForexTime.com. After trading the Stock and Forex markets for 6 year, He founded the MyForexTime.com in 2005. Jawwad Ahmad has been an active Forex trader for the last 10 years, specializing in the International Foreign Exchange Market. He also MBA and CS graduate in the University of AJK, in Pakistan, as a specializing in Information Technology, and financial self-taught. He has since been managing trading accounts privately, manages clients portfolio for the leading Retail FX brokers, also training new traders around the world.

Pakistan Economic Indicators

  Annual 2009/10  
  Foreign Debt $50.1bn  
  Per Cap Income $1046  
  GDP Growth 2.0%  
  Average CPI 20.77%  
  Monthly July
 
  Trade Balance $-1.15 bln  
  Exports $1.49 bln
  Imports $2.64 bln  
 

Weekly August 18, 2009

 
  Reserves $11.846 bln
 

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Credit Default Swaps...

One-month in credit default swaps bet against countries

Euro Without Support

EURO Without Supportimage

The EUR certainly received no support from a better than expected ZEW survey yesterday (-53.5 vs. -63 expected) as the focus on continued risk aversion spelled trouble for the single currency and EURUSD and EURJPY posted new two-week lows late yesterday and overnight Read More

Japan Currency and Economy

Economy At Risk?

Chart USD / JPY
Japan's economy is at risk of deteriorating further as the global financial turmoil slows growth worldwide, BoJ board member Seiji Nakamura said. "Japan could be on the verge of long-term economic adjustments and the downside risks to the economy are increasing further,'' Read More

Pakistan Currency and Economy

Economic Recovery?

Chart USD / JPY
Pakistan's economy is finally able to recover as the global financial turmoil slows growth worldwide, Inflation rate is still out of control & increase in current accounts deficit. Pakistan’s economy needs effective policies and implementation of
reforms in FY09 to regain macroeconomic stability in the midst of a challenging year... Read More

EuroZone

Euro zone in recession as economy shrinks in Q3

The Euro zone is in its first ever technical recession after the economy contracted for the second time in a row quarter-on-quarter in the July-September period, an official estimate showed on Friday.

Gold Future and Spot

Gold rates, gold trading

Gold prices slipped a little lower last night influenced by technical selling...  2010-03-10  Read More

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