Friday July 30 , 2010
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Euro against major currencies...

EUR/USD 0/- We will prefer to sell rallies to 1.2370 for push back to 1.2280. Stop are above 1.2410.

EUR/JPY   EUR vs JPY is natural, We See support at 110.10 holding. Ranging 110.0-111.30.  2010-06-27 20:53:52

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USA Personal income increased $53.7 billion...

Economy

USA Personal income increased $53.7 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $49.0 billion, or 0.4 percent, in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
 

Wall Street Hiring Jumps Most Since 2008...

Economy

The removal of uncertainty regarding Congress’s financial reform bill may reinforce the hiring rebound. A deal reached by members of a House and Senate conference last week diluted provisions from the tougher USA Senate bill, limiting rather than prohibiting the ability of federally insured banks to trade derivatives and invest in hedge funds or private-equity funds. 

USA Firms are adding jobs for the first time in two years, rebuilding businesses cut during the financial crisis and offering guaranteed payouts to lure top US bankers. During February through May, In New York, 6800 financial-industry positions were added. This is the largest 3-month increase since 2008, according to the New York State Department of Labor

 

G-20 Leaders Responds to European Debt Crisis With Deficit-Cutting Target...

G-20

Advanced G-20 Countries economies will aim to halve deficits by 2013 and start to stabilize their debt-to-output ratios by 2016, the group said in a statement yesterday after a meeting in Toronto Canada. G-20 Leaders said nations can move at their own pace and also pledged to fulfill existing stimulus plans.

G-20 leaders responded to the European debt crisis with deficit-reduction targets and agreed to pursue higher capital requirements for banks once economic recoveries take hold.

 

USA Q1 2010 Personal Consumption out at 3.0%...

Forex

Today morning European session start with Sweden’s household lending and trade data followed by the series of German states reporting CPI data for June 2010.

Major Economic and Forex Market Headlines  -  Previous Session

  • China May 2010 Leading Index out at 103.44 vs. 104.36 prior
  • United Kingdom June 2010 Home-track Housing Survey out at +0.1% m/m, 2.1% y/y vs. 0.2%/2.0% prior respective.
  • Japan May 2010 Retail Trade out at +2.8% y/y vs. +4.8% expected and 4.9% prior
  • Japan May 2010 Large Retailers’ Sales out at -4.0% vs. -2.9% expected and 0.5% prior
  • NZ June NBNZ Business Confidence out at 40.2 vs. 48.2 prior
  • USA Q1 2010 Final GDP out at 2.7% vs. 3.0% expected and 3.0% previously
  •  vs. 3.5% expected and 3.5% previously
  • USA June Michigan Confidence out at 76.0 vs. 75.5 expected and 75.5 prior

 

   

G-20 May Stress Need to Cut Growing Deficits...

G-20

The G-20 has to bridge a gap between leaders such as German Chancellor Angela Merkel who favor budget cuts and USA President Barack Obama who want to focus on growth.

G-20 leaders are poised to endorse targets to tackle deficits while giving nations flexibility on when to start balancing their books, according to officials with knowledge of drafts of the final statement.

G-20 Leaders will agree today on the need to cut deficits, while urging countries with the most precarious fiscal positions to accelerate their plans, according to the officials who declined to be identified by name because a final version of the statement hasn’t been completed.

   

G-20 Official Says, Yuan Flexibility to Reduce China's Exports...

China

China’s pledge of a more flexible Yuan will reduce the China’s exports in 2010-2011, adding to difficulties that include the European debt crisis and rising costs, a Ministry of Commerce official said.

“I’m not optimistic about the exports this year,” said Yu Jianhua, a Ministry of Commerce director general, after a press conference during the Group of 20 meetings in Toronto. “It’s essential for exporters to cut cost and keep their share in the world trade market.”
   

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Major Currencies Daily Heat Table


Daily Currencies Heat Table              Update: Daily GMT +5:00

EUR

USD

JPY

GBP

AUD

CHF

CAD

NZD

NOK

PKR

SEK

PLN

+ -

-

+ + - -    

+

+

 

Daily Gold, Oil and Silver Futures...

Commodities

Daily Stance

Comments

Gold 0/+

Gold is leading again. Buy at the break of 1244.450 targeting 1251. Sell below 1290.

Silver 0/+

Buy on dips towards 18.66 targeting 18.76.

Oil 0/-

Sell at the break of 76.03 targeting 75.65.

Forex Overview

Currencies Overview

This weekends G-20 meeting is important due to several reasons. Most important are the stance towards recovery, international financial transaction tax and reserve capital in banks.

2010-06-27 - 06:56:19

EUR/USD

EURO is still looking weak. Prefer to sell rallies to 1.2370 for push back to 1.22905. Stop above 1.2415.


UK STERLING/DOLLAR

(daily stance 0/+)

GBP Look for consolidation above 1.4905. Likely ranging 1.49-1.50.


DOLLAR/YEN

Volumes are largely unchanged in Asia. With spot above 9300 we are seeing new wave of interest in buying the risk reversals (Buy USD puts)  as ATM volumes remain soft.

USDJPY (daily stance 0)

Still buy dips to 89.60 for a push back to 90.30, poss 90.70. Stop below 89.25.

AUD/ DOLLAR

Look to sell any bounce towards 0.8700 for a push through 0.8610 to target 0.8570. Stop above 0.8755.

 


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US Dollar Index Chart

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Forex Sentiment Indicator

Forex sentiment indicator

Central Banks Interest Rates

US       0.25%
UK 0.5%
EMU / EURO 1%
Japan 0.1%
Switzerland 0.25%
Canada 0.25%
Australia 3%
New Zealand 2.5%
Sweden 0.25%

G-20 Economy & Updates!

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 5-1/4 percent in the second quarter. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 8-1/4 percent, and non-revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 3-1/2 percent. In June, consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 5 percent.

Jawwad Ahmad

Jawwad Ahmad is the Founder of MyForexTime.com. After trading the Stock and Forex markets for 6 year, He founded the MyForexTime.com in 2005. Jawwad Ahmad has been an active Forex trader for the last 10 years, specializing in the International Foreign Exchange Market. He also MBA and CS graduate in the University of AJK, in Pakistan, as a specializing in Information Technology, and financial self-taught. He has since been managing trading accounts privately, manages clients portfolio for the leading Retail FX brokers, also training new traders around the world.

MyForexTime Twitter Updates

28.06.10
USA Personal income increased $53.7 billion...: http://digg.com/d31VHqK?t
28.06.10
Wall Street Hiring Jumps Most Since 2008...: http://digg.com/d31VHpY?t
28.06.10
G-20 Leaders Responds to European Debt Crisis With Deficit..: http://digg.com/d31VGbb?t
28.06.10
USA Q1 2010 Personal Consumption out at 3.0%...: http://digg.com/d31VGbQ?t
28.06.10
Advanced G-20 Countries economies will aim to halve deficits by 2013 and start to stabilize their debt-to-output ratios by 2016...
28.06.10
Today morning European session start with Sweden’s household lending and trade data followed by the series of German states reporting CPI...
28.06.10
The G-20 has to bridge a gap between leaders such as German Chancellor Angela Merkel who favor budget cuts and USA President Barack Obama...
28.06.10
China’s pledge of a more flexible Yuan will reduce the China’s exports in 2010-11, adding to difficulties that include the European debt...
28.06.10
The Bank Of England's (BOE) Financial Stability Report adopted a cautious tone, noting that...
28.06.10
Real GDP -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the US, increased at an annual rate of 2.7%...
15.04.10
Bernanke reiterated that he anticipates keeping US rates low: http://digg.com/d31OWyQ?t
15.04.10
US crude oil prices rose for the first day in six as US...: http://digg.com/d31OWxx?t
09.12.09
U.S. Dollar bulls have more to hope for in the short term...: http://digg.com/d31CIlQ?t
07.12.09
We expect that OPEC will leave oil production targets unchanged following the 22 December OPEC meeting...: http://digg.com/d31C3MY?t
04.12.09
European central bank left all three policy interest rates..: http://digg.com/d31Bmq0?t
03.12.09
USA ADP national employment report showed that private sector payrolls fell by 169,000 in November,..: http://digg.com/d31Bgam?t
03.12.09
Beige Book Informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks...: http://digg.com/d31BgVw?t
02.12.09
The Gold price jumped higher last night, The gold price peaked at above USD1,200/oz....: http://digg.com/d31BbAV?t
01.12.09
U.S. Dollar clawed back some of its losses...: http://digg.com/d31BVmY?t
01.12.09
The RBA rate meeting panned out as expected, with the RBA hiking rates another 25bp for the third meeting in a row http://digg.com/d31BVeM?t

Pakistan Economic Indicators

  Annual 2009/10  
  Foreign Debt $50.1bn  
  Per Cap Income $1046  
  GDP Growth 2.0%  
  Average CPI 20.77%  
  Monthly July
 
  Trade Balance $-1.15 bln  
  Exports $1.49 bln
  Imports $2.64 bln  
 

Weekly August 18, 2009

 
  Reserves $11.846 bln
 

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Credit Default Swaps...

One-month in credit default swaps bet against countries

Euro Without Support

EURO Without Supportimage

The EUR certainly received no support from a better than expected ZEW survey yesterday (-53.5 vs. -63 expected) as the focus on continued risk aversion spelled trouble for the single currency and EURUSD and EURJPY posted new two-week lows late yesterday and overnight Read More

Japan Currency and Economy

Economy At Risk?

Chart USD / JPY
Japan's economy is at risk of deteriorating further as the global financial turmoil slows growth worldwide, BoJ board member Seiji Nakamura said. "Japan could be on the verge of long-term economic adjustments and the downside risks to the economy are increasing further,'' Read More

Pakistan Currency and Economy

Economic Recovery?

Chart USD / JPY
Pakistan's economy is finally able to recover as the global financial turmoil slows growth worldwide, Inflation rate is still out of control & increase in current accounts deficit. Pakistan’s economy needs effective policies and implementation of
reforms in FY09 to regain macroeconomic stability in the midst of a challenging year... Read More

EuroZone

Euro zone in recession as economy shrinks in Q3

The Euro zone is in its first ever technical recession after the economy contracted for the second time in a row quarter-on-quarter in the July-September period, an official estimate showed on Friday.

Gold Future and Spot

Gold rates, gold trading

Gold prices slipped a little lower last night influenced by technical selling...  2010-03-10  Read More

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